Population Demographics

Health Unit Region Population Estimates

The 2021 population estimate for the North Bay Parry Sound District Health Unit (Health Unit) region is 130,788 individuals. Between 2011 and 2021, the regional population increased significantly by nearly 2,500 individuals or by 1.9%.

Population by Age and Sex:

The age groups that comprised the highest percentage (more than one-third) of our regional population were adults aged 50 to 74 years, compared to Ontario where 20 to 39 year olds and 55 to 59 year olds were the age groups most represented in the population (see Figure 1; Table 1).

The regional population of children aged 17 years or younger has decreased significantly by about 5.5% between 2011 and 2021. In comparison, the population of seniors (adults aged 65 years or older) has increased significantly by about 33.5% (see Figure 2). A similar increasing trend in senior populations occurred in the Nipissing and Parry Sound districts; while the population of children in Nipissing has decreased significantly by about 7.1% compared to 1.7% in Parry Sound (see Tables 4 and 5).
The percentage of males and females within each age group is between 48% and 52% within all age groups with the exception of adults aged 80 years and older. Females represented 66% of the population aged 90 years or older, and 56% of the population aged 80 to 89 years.

Population for Nipissing and Parry Sound Districts:

In the Nipissing district (excluding South Algonquin, Temagami, and Bear Island), adults aged 55 to 69 years old were the most represented age groups in the population (approximately 23%; see Table 2). Similar proportions of age groups in the East Nipissing and West Nipissing areas, except for the North Bay area, adults aged 20 to 24 years, 25 to 29 years, and 55 to 59 years were the age groups most represented in the population.
In the Parry Sound district, adults aged 55 to 69 years comprised over 28% of the population (see Table 3). Similar patterns were in the age groups of the North East Parry Sound area, South East Parry Sound area, and West Parry Sound area.
Of the municipalities served by the Health Unit within the Nipissing district (excludes South Algonquin, Temagami, and Bear Island), the population decreased significantly by about 1822 individuals between 2011 and 2016 and increased significantly by about 2158 individuals between 2016 and 2021. In the Parry Sound district, the population has increased significantly by about 2132 individuals since 2011.

Figure 1. Population estimates for the Health Unit region

Figure 1. 2021 Population estimates for individuals residing within the North Bay Parry Sound District Health Unit region, by sex and age group.

Bar graph showing the male and female population estimates for each 5 year age group

Figure 2. Population estimates for children and seniors within the Health Unit region

Figure 2. Population estimates for children and seniors within the Health Unit region, by year.

Table 1. Population estimates for the Health Unit region

Table 1. 2021 Population estimates for individuals residing within the North Bay Parry Sound District Health Unit region, by sex and age group.

Age Group (Years)	Females	Males	Total
0-4	2,736	2,753	5,489
5-9	2,893	3,137	6,030
10-14	3,160	3,169	6,329
15-19	3,134	3,267	6,401
20-24	3,569	3,856	7,425
25-29	3,610	3,789	7,399
30-34	3,547	3,794	7,341
35-39	3,645	3,510	7,155
40-44	3,364	3,367	6,731
45-49	3,685	3,633	7,318
50-54	4,229	4,231	8,460
55-59	5,638	5,496	11,134
60-64	5,674	5,686	11,360
65-69	5,064	4,855	9,919
70-74	4,260	4,121	8,381
75-79	3,080	2,908	5,988
80-84	2,229	1,887	4,116
85-89	1,417	993	2,410
90+	930	472	1,402
Total	65,864	64,924	130,788

Table 2. Population estimates for the adjusted Nipissing district

Table 2. Population estimates for individuals residing within the adjusted Nipissing district, by age group and planning area, 2021.

Age Group (Years)	North Bay	East Nipissing	West Nipissing	Total
0-4	2,348	527	785	3,660
5-9	2,555	620	938	4,113
10-14	2,748	652	963	4,363
15-19	2,826	604	933	4,363
20-24	4,067	569	855	5,491
25-29	4,015	637	885	5,537
30-34	3,536	728	936	5,200
35-39	3,287	762	1,017	5,066
40-44	2,958	620	1,046	4,624
45-49	3,088	699	1,084	4,871
50-54	3,202	921	1,200	5,323
55-59	4,041	1,194	1,689	6,924
60-64	3,839	1,273	1,764	6,876
65-69	3,373	945	1,478	5,796
70-74	2,845	707	1,268	4,820
75-79	2,263	378	833	3,474
80-84	1,698	326	501	2,525
85-89	1,013	140	320	1,473
90+	649	106	176	931
Total	54,351	12,408	18,671	85,430

*Only includes municipalities served by the North Bay Parry Sound District Health Unit; excludes South Algonquin, Temagami, and Bear Island.

Table 3. Population estimates for Parry Sound district

Table 3. Population estimates for individuals residing within the Parry Sound district, by age group and planning area, 2021.

Age Group (Years)	North East Parry Sound	South East Parry Sound	West Parry Sound	Total
0-4	557	442	830	1,829
5-9	596	508	813	1,917
10-14	632	431	903	1,966
15-19	620	435	983	2,038
20-24	529	511	894	1,934
25-29	476	511	875	1,862
30-34	644	545	952	2,141
35-39	626	537	926	2,089
40-44	701	487	919	2,107
45-49	753	594	1,100	2,447
50-54	865	795	1,477	3,137
55-59	1,093	1,098	2,019	4,210
60-64	1,098	1,256	2,130	4,484
65-69	1,068	1,079	1,976	4,123
70-74	888	919	1,754	3,561
75-79	614	596	1,304	2,514
80-84	405	355	831	1,591
85-89	226	180	531	937
90+	137	75	259	471
Total	12,528	11,354	21,476	45,358

Table 4. Population estimates for children (aged 17 years or younger) within the Health Unit region

Table 4. Population estimates for children (aged 17 years or younger) within the Health Unit region, by district and year.

Year	Nipissing district (only includes municipalities served by the Health Unit)	Parry Sound district	Health Unit region
2011	15,826	7,068	22,894
2012	15,521	6,964	22,485
2013	15,316	6,758	22,074
2014	15,210	6,622	21,832
2015	15,168	6,626	21,794
2016	15,098	6,712	21,810
2017	14,979	6,758	21,737
2018	14,793	6,833	21,626
2019	14,744	6,842	21,586
2020	14,648	6,867	21,515
2021	14,692	6,947	21,639

Table 5. Population estimates for seniors (aged 65 years and older) within the Health Unit area

Table 5. Population estimates for seniors (aged 65 years and older) within the Health Unit region, by district and year.

Year	Nipissing district (only includes municipalities served by the Health Unit)	Parry Sound district	Health Unit region
2011	14,547	9,576	24,123
2012	15,054	9,947	25,001
2013	15,427	10,379	25,806
2014	15,838	10,751	26,589
2015	16,112	11,021	27,133
2016	16,500	11,403	27,903
2017	16,982	11,661	28,643
2018	17,443	12,076	29,519
2019	17,921	12,372	30,293
2020	18,480	12,812	31,292
2021	19,019	13,197	32,216

Definitions, data sources and methodology

Definitions:

Population estimates: Population counts based on census subdivision populations.

Adjusted Nipissing district: Only includes municipalities served by the North Bay Parry Sound District Health Unit; excludes South Algonquin, Temagami, and Bear Island.

Data sources:

Statistics Canada 2021, Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care, IntelliHEALTH Ontario, Date Extracted: 2022/12/6. The original data source is the Demography Division of Statistics Canada.

Methodology:

Population estimates are based on the census counts adjusted for net undercoverage beginning with the 1986 census. Population estimates are final intercensal estimates that are interpolated using the adjusted census counts for the census years around the year that the estimates are for. Population estimates beyond the most recent census onwards are extrapolated by applying the growth rates by age and sex of each census division (CD) to the census subdivisons that comprise that CD.

For more details on this methodology, please see: "Postcensal estimates of census subdivisions population by age and sex” (April 2015) produced by Statistics Canada.